blog
Our Blog
Election Stock Market Playbook
As Election Day approaches, we discuss potential stock market implications of various possible outcomes. But before we get into that, we offer our regular public service announcement around elections and investing. Political views are best expressed at the polls and...
Q3 Earnings Should Be Fine, but Expectations Beyond This Quarter Are High
The bar for third quarter earnings is low, with analysts currently expecting only about a 3% increase in S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS). That low bar and a supportive economic environment points to potential upside. However, stocks may already be pricing in...
Just When We Recalibrated, Another Shock Arrived
Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell said last month’s decision to cut the fed funds target rate by a half percentage point was due to a “recalibrating” policy, as the Fed follows its dual mandate regarding inflation and growth. The new buzzword — recalibration —...
Policy Crosscurrents: Potential Market Impacts
Of course, last week’s headliner was Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting rates by a half percent on Wednesday, September 18, the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic broke out in 2020. The Fed “pause” ended at 423 days and now stands as the...
Second Quarter Earnings Recap: Good, Not Great
Second quarter earnings season is in the books, and it was a good one. S&P 500 companies collectively grew earnings at a double-digit pace for the first time in three years. Companies beat estimates at a solid 79% clip. Guidance from company CEOs and CFOs was...
Stock and Bond Market FAQs From the Field
Every year as the summer months draw near their end, LPL Financial hosts its annual conference for financial advisors. While the conference is an excellent opportunity for advisors to expand upon professional interests, discover ways to enhance their impact on...
THOUGHTS ON GLOBAL SELLOFF AND THE DOLLAR’S PATH TO DECOMPRESSING
Before the jobs report was released on Friday, we wrote a commentary on the U.S. dollar. In light of the events over the weekend and Monday, we start with some comments on the global stock market selloff. The broad stock market benchmarks are down about 3% this...
KEY THEMES FOR BONDS IN THE SECOND HALF OF 2024
The first half of the year was a challenging environment for a lot of fixed income markets, especially higher-quality markets. With the Federal Reserve (Fed) seemingly unlikely to lower interest rates until after the summer months (at the earliest), the “higher for...
Midyear Outlook 2024: Still Waiting for the Turn by LPL Financial Research
To learn more about the opportunities and challenges through the end of the year – including how the election can impact markets – read the 2024 Midyear Outlook today.
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE: THE ANTIDOTE TO FED POLICY
The market experienced record highs and unprecedented lows in volatility, driven by the buzz surrounding AI and disruptive technologies. But what implications does this have for long-term investors? Dive into our latest Weekly Market Commentary to discover how AI may unlock a more prosperous future for those investing over the long term.