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Early Keys to 2026

Early Keys to 2026

In a year that could easily be defined by a few different words — including but not limited to tariffs, technology, or more broadly, uncertainty — capital markets have plugged along splendidly. Despite a near-bear market correction in April, the S&P 500 and U.S....
Cockroaches, Canaries, and Credit Markets

Cockroaches, Canaries, and Credit Markets

In corporate credit markets, early indicators of stress often emerge subtly — not through dramatic dislocations, but through nuanced shifts in borrower behavior and market dynamics. Much like canaries in coal mines once signaled invisible threats, and Jamie Dimon’s...
Cockroaches, Canaries, and Credit Markets

Q3 Earnings Season Preview: Little Suspense

We believe corporate America will follow up an outstanding second quarter earnings season with another good one in the third quarter. Support from a resilient economy, tariff mitigation measures, artificial intelligence (AI) investment, and currency should offset...
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