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2023   MARKET OUTLOOK

2023   MARKET OUTLOOK

2022 was a dizzying year as markets and the global economy continued to find itself out of balance due to the still present aftereffects of the COVID-19 pandemic and the policy response to it. If 2022 was about recognizing imbalances that had built in the economy and...
2023   MARKET OUTLOOK

DECEMBER DOWN BUT NOT OUT

Despite the S&P 500 Index starting December with five consecutive days of losses, we think December is down but not out. December often starts slow but historically has been a strong month. There are also some potentially supportive seasonal patterns ahead, such...
PLAYBOOK FOR A FED PIVOT

PLAYBOOK FOR A FED PIVOT

Recent inflation data has tempered expectations for future Federal Reserve tightening, including a potential peak in the terminal rate near 5.0% in May or June of 2023. While the market has welcomed this news, history suggests the path to a Fed pivot could be volatile...
PLAYBOOK FOR A FED PIVOT

Low Bar For Earnings Season

Expectations are very low for this earnings season. The challenges are many, with intense cost pressures and slowing economic growth at the top of the list. The chorus of analysts and strategists calling for big cuts to estimates has gotten louder. Expect estimates to...
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